Season series: Tied 2-2.
Team Records: Detroit 50-19-13, 113 pts.; Calgary 43-29-10, 96 pts
Offense: Known as a tough-checking team, the Flames added Alex Tanguay in the off-season to address their offensive woes. Tanguay, together with career years from Kristian Huselius and Daymond Langkow propelled the Flames to the 7th best offense in the league.
The Wings, for all of their firepower, struggled somewhat as they finished 10th in goals for, despite all of their star talent. The loss of Brendan Shanahan and the aging of Robert Lang and Kris Draper hindered the Wings somewhat, forcing them to acquire Todd Bertuzzi in a late-season trade. Bertuzzi, who had 4 points in 8 games with the Wings, remains the ultimate Wild Card in this series. If he can shake his current injury problems, and play with unusual vigour, the Wings could easily tilt the series in their favour.
Keep an eye on Pavel Datsyuk, who has just 3 goals and 15 points in 42 playoff tilts. Datsyuk has not responded well to the tight-checking of the NHL post-season, and could drag down his linemates with him if he doesn't shape up.
Defense: The secret to the Wings success was their air-tight defense, which allowed the fewest amount of shots against (24.6 a game). Mathieu Schneider and Nicklas Lidstrom are two of the very best, while the ancient Chris Chelios is still effective defensively as is the unheralded Danny Markov.
The Flames, thanks to a shift in strategy, fell to the bottom 10 of NHL teams in shots against. Their defense corps, led by blaster master Dion Phaneuf, is one of the best groups in terms of balance and depth, with the late-season of Brad Stuart helping bolster the Flames' transition game. Suffice it to say, the Flames, as a whole, are a lot more capable at preventing shots than their performance would indicate.
Goaltending: Dominik Hasek got a lot of press for coming back and getting 38 wins and an impressive 2.05 GAA at the age of 42, but people tend to forget that his save percentage was quite pedestrian at 91.3 SV%, which ranked 13th in the NHL and was one of the lowest of his career. Despite this, Hasek is usually money in the bank when the games matter most and has a lifetime 93.0 SV% in playoff games, although this number has decreased as he's gotten older.
Kiprusoff has been the rock for the Flames during his tenure there, but fell to 9th with a 91.7 SV% and seems a little more vulnerable this season. Kipper sports a lifetime 92.7 SV% and will be Calgary's best weapon.
Prediction: Flames in 7. The Wings PP woes (21st in the NHL) and offensive questions marks will likely prevent them from beating Kiprusoff and the Flames will knock off the Wings, sending Detroit home early again.
















Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
4-10-2007 @ 9:48AM
Dave said...
I think you make a very good point about Detroit's special teams. They could very easily be an achilles heel for the Wings in this series.
On the other hand, Detroit did finish 10th (three spots behind the Flames) in goals for and that was with Zetterberg out of the lineup for seven weeks. The big question is whether he can play at the level he played before being injured. Back then the Zetterberg-Datsyuk-Holmstrom line was the hottest line in the NHL.
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4-10-2007 @ 10:50AM
Matt Saler said...
One of the reasons for the Wings' offensive decline, aside from the loss of Shanahan, was their focus on team defense. With everyone focusing on playing a two-way game, the offensive side wasn't emphasized as much.
Sure, they seem to have underperformed, but they can turn it on when they want to as well. This team becomes more Mike Babcock's with every season. When Pavel Datsyuk leads the league in takeaways, you know the system in Detroit has changed. Babcock is reforming the team in his image and that was one of the biggest reasons for Shanahan's departure. What they lost in offense there, they made up in Babcock's overall defensive system.
This team isn't the soft offensive team Calgary faced in 03-04, nor is it the complacent high-scoring team the Oilers took out last season. They have an edge and play tougher than any Wings teams I remember. Whether that will be enough is another question.
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4-10-2007 @ 9:20PM
Nick Pietraniec said...
No mention of Zetterburg? I'll take you're bet. There's no way the wings can get knocked out so early again.
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4-11-2007 @ 1:49PM
Marv said...
Goalie Hasek will carry the Wings to the finals
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